SPY MARKET OBSERVATION • 2026-08-14

SPY Outlook 2026-08-14 — Key Levels & Tomorrow Bias

Review the SPY key levels, market structure, next levels, Tomorrow Bias, and outcome for this date.

Today — Current Session

UB1779.85
UB2781.60
UB3783.35
LB1776.35
LB2774.60
LB3772.85

Prior Trading Day

UB1777.95
UB2780.01
UB3782.06
LB1773.84
LB2771.78
LB3769.73

ACCEPT / REJECT / INTERLEAVED Structure

Market StateAWAITING LIVE STATE
Structure ModeINTERLEAVED
Accepted LevelsPrior LB2, Prior LB3, Prior UB3, Today LB3
Rejected LevelsPrior LB, Prior UB, Prior UB2, Today LB, Today LB2, Today UB, Today UB2
PEER ACCEPTED INTERACTION

Continuation Plan

DirectionLONG/SHORT
Accepted LevelPublished Acceptance Zone
Confirmation / Trigger772.18
Projected Target772.18
Current StatusNOT TRIGGERED
SPY Reference778.01

General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.

PEER REJECTED INTERACTION

Reversal Plan

DirectionLONG
Rejected LevelPrior LB
Reversal Confirmation773.33
Projected Target774.92
Current StatusTARGET REACHED
Hard Invalidation779.80

General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.

Next Values We Are Observing

The active observation ladder is shown below.

OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today UB — 779.85
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Prior UB2 — 780.01
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today UB2 — 781.60
SPY TOMORROW OUTLOOK

SHORT • 63.1% confidence

Watch776.22
Confirmation776.22
Invalidation779.80
Target774.43
Extension772.64
Reversal Confirmation778.95

SPY Level Outlook — Available Pre-EOD

Today LB — 776.48
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 780.94 • down projection 772.01 • projected target 774.77 • today status REACHED
Today LB — 776.22
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 780.55 • down projection 771.89 • projected target 774.43 • today status REACHED
Prior LB — 773.33
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 777.82 • down projection 768.85 • projected target 771.32 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior LB3 — 769.30
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 774.55 • down projection 764.05 • projected target 769.30 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior LB3 — 770.15
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 775.30 • down projection 765.00 • projected target 770.15 • today status NOT REACHED
Today LB3 — 772.64
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 772.64 • today status NOT REACHED

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation776.22
Primary Target774.43
Hard Invalidation779.80
Target Completed40.0%
Invalidation30.0%
No Completion40.0%

If Day 1 Does Not Complete

Day-2 continuation0.0%
Continuation reference774.43
Day-2 reversal50.0%
Reversal confirmation778.95

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_REACHED

The published target price traded during the next regular session.

Open / High / Low / Close776.18 / 776.78 / 772.51 / 772.67
General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.