SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-08-13

SPY Outlook 2026-08-13 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY776.44

Synthetic774.91

Range Unit2.10

Market StateDIRECTIONAL • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG

Confidence67.9%

Sample10

Confirmation778.54

Invalidation774.34

Next Target780.63

SPY Key Levels

UB1778.54

UB2780.63

UB3782.73

LB1774.34

LB2772.25

LB3770.15

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 LB3Prior 09:30 UB3Prior 09:35 SyntheticPrior LB2Prior LB3Prior UB3Synthetic 09:35Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 LB3Today LBToday LB2Today LB3

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior LBPrior UBPrior UB2Today 09:30 UBToday 09:30 UB2Today UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Synthetic 09:30 — 772.18

Expected test 40.0% • Accept 83.3% • Reject 16.7% • Expected move 6.89

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 772.82

Expected test 34.1% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.27

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 772.22

Expected test 29.6% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.57

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Synthetic 09:35 — 774.91

Expected test 20.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.56

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Prior UB — 775.66

Expected test 40.9% • Accept 33.3% • Reject 66.7% • Expected move 2.77

EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation778.54

Favorable Observation Level778.83

Primary Target780.63

Invalidation774.34

Target Completed20.0%

No Completion50.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation0.0%

Reversal40.0%

Still unresolved60.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

PENDING_NEXT_DAY_EOD

The prediction has not been graded because the next trading day's EOD is not saved.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.