SPY MARKET OBSERVATION • 2026-08-12
SPY Outlook 2026-08-12 — Key Levels & Tomorrow Bias
Review the SPY key levels, market structure, next levels, Tomorrow Bias, and outcome for this date.
Today — Current Session
UB1775.75
UB2778.53
UB3781.31
LB1770.18
LB2767.40
LB3764.62
Prior Trading Day
UB1775.14
UB2777.00
UB3778.85
LB1771.43
LB2769.57
LB3767.72
ACCEPT / REJECT / INTERLEAVED Structure
Market StateAWAITING LIVE STATE
Structure ModeINTERLEAVED
Accepted LevelsPrior LB, Prior LB2, Prior LB3, Prior UB3, Today LB2, Today LB3
Rejected LevelsPrior UB, Prior UB2, Today LB, Today UB, Today UB2
PEER ACCEPTED INTERACTION
Continuation Plan
DirectionSHORT
Accepted LevelPrior LB3
Confirmation / Trigger767.89
Projected Target764.09
Current StatusNOT TRIGGERED
SPY Reference772.88
General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.
PEER REJECTED INTERACTION
Reversal Plan
DirectionLONG
Rejected LevelToday LB
Reversal Confirmation770.10
Projected Target771.48
Current StatusTARGET REACHED
Hard Invalidation775.66
General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.
Next Values We Are Observing
The active observation ladder is shown below.
OBSERVE NEXT 1
Prior UB — 775.14
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Today UB — 775.75
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Prior UB2 — 777.00
SPY TOMORROW OUTLOOK
SHORT • 67.8% confidence
Watch770.10
Confirmation770.10
Invalidation775.66
Target767.32
Extension764.53
Reversal Confirmation773.18
SPY Level Outlook — Available Pre-EOD
Today LB — 770.10
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 772.09 • down projection 768.10 • projected target 767.32 • today status NOT REACHED
Today LB — 770.27
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 772.24 • down projection 768.30 • projected target 767.48 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior LB3 — 767.89
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 770.98 • down projection 764.81 • projected target 767.89 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior UB2 — 777.17
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 780.27 • down projection 774.07 • projected target 779.03 • today status NOT REACHED
Today LB3 — 764.53
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 764.53 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior LB3 — 767.54
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 767.54 • today status NOT REACHED
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation770.10
Primary Target767.32
Hard Invalidation775.66
Target Completed55.6%
Invalidation33.3%
No Completion11.1%
If Day 1 Does Not Complete
Day-2 continuation0.0%
Continuation reference767.32
Day-2 reversal100.0%
Reversal confirmation773.18
Actual Next-Day Audit
INVALIDATED
The published invalidation price traded during the next regular session.
Open / High / Low / Close774.87 / 779.37 / 774.11 / 777.88
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.