SPY MARKET OBSERVATION • 2026-08-11
SPY Outlook 2026-08-11 — Key Levels & Tomorrow Bias
Review the SPY key levels, market structure, next levels, Tomorrow Bias, and outcome for this date.
Today — Current Session
UB1775.14
UB2777.00
UB3778.85
LB1771.43
LB2769.57
LB3767.72
Prior Trading Day
UB1774.78
UB2776.86
UB3778.95
LB1770.60
LB2768.52
LB3766.43
ACCEPT / REJECT / INTERLEAVED Structure
Market StateAWAITING LIVE STATE
Structure ModeINTERLEAVED
Accepted LevelsPrior LB3, Prior UB2, Prior UB3, Today LB
Rejected LevelsPrior LB, Prior LB2, Prior UB, Today LB2, Today UB
PEER ACCEPTED INTERACTION
Continuation Plan
DirectionLONG
Accepted LevelPrior UB
Confirmation / Trigger774.67
Projected Target777.15
Current StatusNOT TRIGGERED
SPY Reference773.11
General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.
PEER REJECTED INTERACTION
Reversal Plan
DirectionSHORT
Rejected LevelToday UB
Reversal Confirmation774.97
Projected Target773.19
Current StatusTARGET REACHED
Hard Invalidation774.97
General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.
Next Values We Are Observing
The active observation ladder is shown below.
OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today LB — 771.43
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Prior LB — 770.60
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today LB2 — 769.57
SPY TOMORROW OUTLOOK
SHORT • 66.7% confidence
Watch771.25
Confirmation771.25
Invalidation774.97
Target769.40
Extension767.54
Reversal Confirmation773.88
SPY Level Outlook — Available Pre-EOD
Today LB — 771.60
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 776.21 • down projection 766.99 • projected target 769.75 • today status REACHED
Today LB — 771.25
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 775.75 • down projection 766.76 • projected target 769.40 • today status REACHED
Prior LB3 — 766.32
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 771.57 • down projection 761.07 • projected target 766.32 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior LB — 770.49
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 775.23 • down projection 765.76 • projected target 768.41 • today status REACHED
Prior LB3 — 766.54
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 771.69 • down projection 761.39 • projected target 766.54 • today status NOT REACHED
Today LB3 — 767.54
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 767.54 • today status NOT REACHED
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation771.25
Primary Target769.40
Hard Invalidation774.97
Target Completed50.0%
Invalidation40.0%
No Completion20.0%
If Day 1 Does Not Complete
Day-2 continuation50.0%
Continuation reference769.40
Day-2 reversal50.0%
Reversal confirmation773.88
Actual Next-Day Audit
UNRESOLVED
The next regular session did not trade at the published confirmation, target, or invalidation price.
Open / High / Low / Close774.71 / 774.90 / 771.28 / 772.49
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.