SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-08-10

SPY Outlook 2026-08-10 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY772.80

Synthetic766.57

Range Unit2.09

Market StateEXPANSION • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG

Confidence67.6%

Sample10

Confirmation774.89

Invalidation770.71

Next Target776.97

SPY Key Levels

UB1774.89

UB2776.97

UB3779.06

LB1770.71

LB2768.63

LB3766.54

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:35 SyntheticPrior UBToday 09:30 LBToday 09:30 LB3Today LBToday LB3

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UB2Prior LBPrior LB2Prior UB2Today 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UBToday 09:30 UB2Today LB2Today UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

Historical primary path was SHORT, but the active reversal path is SHORT. Observe the SHORT ladder next; these are the next live prices to monitor, not guaranteed hits.

OBSERVE NEXT 1

Today LB — 770.71

OBSERVE NEXT 2

Today LB2 — 768.63

OBSERVE NEXT 3

Today LB3 — 766.54

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 768.76

Expected test 34.9% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.27

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Synthetic 09:30 — 772.92

Expected test 38.6% • Accept 82.3% • Reject 17.6% • Expected move 7.17

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 767.23

Expected test 30.2% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.57

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Synthetic 09:35 — 766.57

Expected test 20.4% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.56

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

Prior UB — 773.88

Expected test 39.5% • Accept 35.3% • Reject 64.7% • Expected move 2.87

EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation774.89

Favorable Observation Level775.29

Primary Target776.97

Invalidation770.71

Target Completed30.0%

No Completion50.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation0.0%

Reversal40.0%

Still unresolved60.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

PENDING_NEXT_DAY_EOD

The prediction has not been graded because the next trading day's EOD is not saved.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.