SPY MARKET OBSERVATION • 2026-08-10
SPY Outlook 2026-08-10 — Key Levels & Tomorrow Bias
Review the SPY key levels, market structure, next levels, Tomorrow Bias, and outcome for this date.
Today — Current Session
UB1774.78
UB2776.86
UB3778.95
LB1770.60
LB2768.52
LB3766.43
Prior Trading Day
UB1774.07
UB2776.85
UB3779.63
LB1768.52
LB2765.74
LB3762.97
ACCEPT / REJECT / INTERLEAVED Structure
Market StateAWAITING LIVE STATE
Structure ModeINTERLEAVED
Accepted LevelsPrior UB, Today LB, Today LB3
Rejected LevelsPrior LB, Prior LB2, Prior UB2, Today LB2, Today UB, Today UB2
PEER ACCEPTED INTERACTION
Continuation Plan
DirectionSHORT
Accepted LevelToday LB
Confirmation / Trigger770.71
Projected Target766.16
Current StatusNOT TRIGGERED
SPY Reference772.80
General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.
PEER REJECTED INTERACTION
Reversal Plan
DirectionSHORT
Rejected LevelPrior UB2
Reversal Confirmation777.04
Projected Target775.63
Current StatusTARGET REACHED
Hard Invalidation770.71
General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.
Next Values We Are Observing
The active observation ladder is shown below.
OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today LB — 770.60
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Prior LB — 768.52
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today LB2 — 768.52
SPY TOMORROW OUTLOOK
LONG • 62.6% confidence
Watch774.89
Confirmation774.89
Invalidation770.71
Target776.97
Extension779.06
Reversal Confirmation771.50
SPY Level Outlook — Available Pre-EOD
Prior UB — 773.88
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 776.74 • down projection 771.01 • projected target 776.65 • today status REACHED
Today UB — 774.89
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 778.09 • down projection 771.69 • projected target 776.97 • today status REACHED
Today UB — 774.67
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 777.77 • down projection 771.56 • projected target 776.75 • today status REACHED
Prior UB — 774.27
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 777.48 • down projection 771.06 • projected target 777.04 • today status REACHED
Today UB3 — 779.06
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 779.06 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior UB3 — 779.43
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 779.43 • today status NOT REACHED
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation774.89
Primary Target776.97
Hard Invalidation770.71
Target Completed20.0%
Invalidation20.0%
No Completion60.0%
If Day 1 Does Not Complete
Day-2 continuation0.0%
Continuation reference776.97
Day-2 reversal50.0%
Reversal confirmation771.50
Actual Next-Day Audit
INVALIDATED
The published invalidation price traded during the next regular session.
Open / High / Low / Close774.53 / 774.61 / 769.20 / 770.56
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.