SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-08-07

SPY Outlook 2026-08-07 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY771.10
Synthetic767.23
Range Unit2.78
Market StateEXPANSION • Inside Compression → Expansion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG
Confidence79.2%
Sample10
Confirmation773.88
Invalidation768.32
Next Target776.65

SPY Key Levels

UB1773.88
UB2776.65
UB3779.43
LB1768.32
LB2765.55
LB3762.77

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB3Prior 09:30 SyntheticPrior 09:30 UBPrior 09:35 SyntheticPrior LBPrior LB3Prior UBToday 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 LB3Today 09:30 UBToday LB2Today LB3

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UB2Prior LB2Prior UB2Synthetic 09:30Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 UB2Today LBToday UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 UB2 — 775.31
Expected test 42.1% • Accept 25.0% • Reject 75.0% • Expected move 3.10
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior UB2 — 775.42
Expected test 42.1% • Accept 37.5% • Reject 62.5% • Expected move 4.75
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 772.54
Expected test 26.3% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 5.42
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:35 — 767.23
Expected test 36.8% • Accept 71.4% • Reject 28.6% • Expected move 5.09
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 UB — 772.61
Expected test 42.1% • Accept 62.5% • Reject 37.5% • Expected move 3.99
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation773.88
Favorable Observation Level774.82
Primary Target776.65
Invalidation768.32
Target Completed50.0%
No Completion40.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation50.0%
Reversal50.0%
Still unresolved0.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

DAY_1_UNFINISHED

Day 1 touched neither target nor invalidation, so the prediction remains unfinished rather than proven correct or wrong.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.