SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-08-06
SPY Outlook 2026-08-06 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias
This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.
Opening SPY Structure
09:35 SPY769.72
Synthetic774.54
Range Unit2.85
Market StateEXPANSION • Inside Compression → Breakdown
Tomorrow Bias
DirectionSHORT
Confidence77.2%
Sample10
Confirmation766.87
Invalidation772.57
Next Target764.02
SPY Key Levels
UB1772.57
UB2775.42
UB3778.26
LB1766.87
LB2764.02
LB3761.18
Accepted Structure
Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 LB3Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB3Prior LB2Prior LB3Prior UB2Prior UB3Today 09:30 LB3Today LB3Rejected Structure
Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior LBPrior UBSynthetic 09:30Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UBToday 09:30 UB2Today LBToday LB2Today UBToday UB2Next Values We Are Observing
No active next-value ladder was published for this session.
Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD
Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.
Synthetic 09:30 — 772.54
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 27.3% • Expected move 6.64
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:35 — 774.54
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 18.8% • Expected move 5.48
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 LB — 771.68
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 41.7% • Expected move 5.28
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior LB — 771.93
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 41.7% • Expected move 4.80
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 LB2 — 767.18
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 55.6% • Expected move 3.77
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation766.87
Favorable Observation Level765.44
Primary Target764.02
Invalidation772.57
Target Completed60.0%
No Completion20.0%
Conditional Day-2 History
Continuation50.0%
Reversal50.0%
Still unresolved0.0%
Actual Next-Day Audit
PREDICTION_INVALIDATED
The primary Tomorrow Bias route failed at its mapped invalidation.
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.