SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-08-05

SPY Outlook 2026-08-05 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY776.51
Synthetic769.87
Range Unit4.58
Market StateEXPANSION • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionSHORT
Confidence55.7%
Sample10
Confirmation771.93
Invalidation781.09
Next Target767.35

SPY Key Levels

UB1781.09
UB2785.67
UB3790.25
LB1771.93
LB2767.35
LB3762.77

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 UB3Prior UB2Prior UB3

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior LBPrior LB2Prior UBToday 09:30 LBToday 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UBToday 09:30 UB2Today LBToday LB2Today UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 UB3 — 771.44
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 2.50
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 760.60
Expected test 35.7% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.27
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:30 — 770.54
Expected test 37.2% • Accept 81.3% • Reject 18.8% • Expected move 7.22
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 LB — 758.64
Expected test 42.9% • Accept 72.2% • Reject 27.8% • Expected move 6.09
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 758.93
Expected test 30.9% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.57
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation771.93
Favorable Observation Level770.11
Primary Target767.35
Invalidation781.09
Target Completed30.0%
No Completion40.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation50.0%
Reversal50.0%
Still unresolved0.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

DAY_1_UNFINISHED

Day 1 touched neither target nor invalidation, so the prediction remains unfinished rather than proven correct or wrong.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.