SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-08-03

SPY Outlook 2026-08-03 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY751.72

Synthetic741.66

Range Unit4.44

Market StateEXPANSION • Inside Compression → Expansion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG

Confidence74.2%

Sample10

Confirmation756.16

Invalidation747.28

Next Target760.59

SPY Key Levels

UB1756.16

UB2760.59

UB3765.03

LB1747.28

LB2742.85

LB3738.41

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 UB3Prior LBToday 09:30 UB

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior LB2Prior UBPrior UB2Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UB2Today LBToday LB2Today UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 UB — 749.45

Expected test 100.0% • Accept 57.1% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 1.11

EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

Prior UB — 747.87

Expected test 100.0% • Accept 42.9% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 0.81

EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

Today LB — 747.28

Expected test 100.0% • Accept 37.5% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 0.63

EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

Today 09:30 LB — 746.43

Expected test 100.0% • Accept 42.9% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 0.13

EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

Synthetic 09:35 — 741.66

Expected test 41.2% • Accept 71.4% • Reject 28.6% • Expected move 5.09

EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation756.16

Favorable Observation Level758.72

Primary Target760.59

Invalidation747.28

Target Completed40.0%

No Completion50.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation40.0%

Reversal40.0%

Still unresolved20.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_COMPLETED

The primary Tomorrow Bias route completed at its mapped target.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.