SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-07-29

SPY Outlook 2026-07-29 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY739.90
Synthetic733.20
Range Unit2.89
Market StateEXPANSION • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionSHORT
Confidence73.7%
Sample10
Confirmation737.01
Invalidation742.79
Next Target734.13

SPY Key Levels

UB1742.79
UB2745.67
UB3748.56
LB1737.01
LB2734.13
LB3731.24

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB3Prior LB3Synthetic 09:30Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 UBToday LBToday UB

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior LBPrior LB2Prior UBPrior UB2Today 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UB2Today LB2Today UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

Historical primary path was LONG, but the active reversal path is LONG. Observe the LONG ladder next; these are the next live prices to monitor, not guaranteed hits.

OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today UB — 742.79
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Today UB2 — 745.67
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today UB3 — 748.56

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 746.94
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 9.40
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior LB — 734.47
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 37.5% • Expected move 6.88
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 LB — 734.99
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 29.4% • Expected move 6.87
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today 09:30 LB — 737.22
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 42.9% • Expected move 5.41
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today LB — 737.01
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 53.3% • Expected move 5.26
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation737.01
Favorable Observation Level736.38
Primary Target734.13
Invalidation742.79
Target Completed20.0%
No Completion40.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation25.0%
Reversal0.0%
Still unresolved75.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

DAY_1_UNFINISHED

Day 1 touched neither target nor invalidation, so the prediction remains unfinished rather than proven correct or wrong.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.