SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-07-27

SPY Outlook 2026-07-27 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY744.96
Synthetic742.01
Range Unit4.17
Market StateDIRECTIONAL • Inside Compression → Expansion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionSHORT
Confidence57.7%
Sample10
Confirmation740.79
Invalidation749.13
Next Target736.62

SPY Key Levels

UB1749.13
UB2753.30
UB3757.48
LB1740.79
LB2736.62
LB3732.44

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 LB3Prior 09:30 UB3Prior LB2Prior LB3Prior UB3Today 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 LB3Today LBToday LB3

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior UBPrior UB2Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 UBToday 09:30 UB2Today LB2Today UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

Historical primary path was NONE, but the active reversal path is SHORT. Observe the SHORT ladder next; these are the next live prices to monitor, not guaranteed hits.

OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today LB — 740.79
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Today LB2 — 736.62
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today LB3 — 732.44

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior UB2 — 745.52
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 20.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 5.62
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:30 UB2 — 745.66
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 14.3% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 5.52
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 734.08
Expected test 31.3% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 5.42
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 734.01
Expected test 37.5% • Accept 83.3% • Reject 16.7% • Expected move 5.13
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:35 — 742.01
Expected test 37.5% • Accept 66.7% • Reject 33.3% • Expected move 4.92
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation740.79
Favorable Observation Level738.36
Primary Target736.62
Invalidation749.13
Target Completed40.0%
No Completion10.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation0.0%
Reversal100.0%
Still unresolved0.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_COMPLETED

The primary Tomorrow Bias route completed at its mapped target.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.