SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-07-24

SPY Outlook 2026-07-24 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY739.02
Synthetic734.01
Range Unit3.25
Market StateEXPANSION • Inside Compression → Expansion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionSHORT
Confidence61.0%
Sample10
Confirmation735.77
Invalidation742.27
Next Target732.52

SPY Key Levels

UB1742.27
UB2745.52
UB3748.78
LB1735.77
LB2732.52
LB3729.26

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB3Prior 09:30 SyntheticPrior 09:30 UBPrior LB3Prior UBToday 09:30 LBToday 09:30 UBToday UB

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UB2Prior LBPrior LB2Prior UB2Today 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UB2Today LBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

Historical primary path was LONG, but the active reversal path is SHORT. Observe the SHORT ladder next; these are the next live prices to monitor, not guaranteed hits.

OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today LB — 735.77
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Today LB2 — 732.52
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today LB3 — 729.26

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 744.65
Expected test 33.3% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 5.42
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today LB — 735.77
Expected test 46.7% • Accept 28.6% • Reject 71.4% • Expected move 1.58
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Synthetic 09:35 — 734.01
Expected test 40.0% • Accept 66.7% • Reject 33.3% • Expected move 4.92
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 743.46
Expected test 33.3% • Accept 80.0% • Reject 20.0% • Expected move 4.92
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today 09:30 LB — 736.12
Expected test 40.0% • Accept 33.3% • Reject 66.7% • Expected move 1.53
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation735.77
Favorable Observation Level734.41
Primary Target732.52
Invalidation742.27
Target Completed50.0%
No Completion10.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation0.0%
Reversal100.0%
Still unresolved0.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

PREDICTION_INVALIDATED

The primary Tomorrow Bias route failed at its mapped invalidation.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.