SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-07-22

SPY Outlook 2026-07-22 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY747.42
Synthetic746.20
Range Unit1.94
Market StateDIRECTIONAL • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionTWO_WAY
Confidence86.9%
Sample10
Confirmation749.36
Invalidation745.48
Next Target751.31

SPY Key Levels

UB1749.36
UB2751.31
UB3753.25
LB1745.48
LB2743.53
LB3741.59

Accepted Structure

Prior 09:30 LBPrior 09:30 LB3Prior 09:30 UB3Prior LBPrior LB3Prior UB3Today 09:30 LBToday 09:30 LB3Today LB2Today LB3

Rejected Structure

Prior 09:30 LB2Prior 09:30 UBPrior 09:30 UB2Prior LB2Prior UBPrior UB2Today 09:30 LB2Today 09:30 UBToday 09:30 UB2Today LBToday UBToday UB2

Next Values We Are Observing

Historical primary path was NONE, but the active reversal path is SHORT. Observe the SHORT ladder next; these are the next live prices to monitor, not guaranteed hits.

OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today LB — 745.48
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Today LB2 — 743.53
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Today LB3 — 741.59

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 747.54
Expected test 33.3% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.29
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 LB — 741.57
Expected test 43.6% • Accept 70.6% • Reject 29.4% • Expected move 6.10
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 745.10
Expected test 30.8% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.33
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:30 — 751.49
Expected test 35.0% • Accept 78.6% • Reject 21.4% • Expected move 6.85
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior LB — 741.32
Expected test 41.0% • Accept 62.5% • Reject 37.5% • Expected move 5.93
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation749.36
Favorable Observation Level0.00
Primary Target751.31
Invalidation745.48
Target Completed60.0%
No Completion40.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation0.0%
Reversal0.0%
Still unresolved100.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_COMPLETED

The primary Tomorrow Bias route completed at its mapped target.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.