SPY MARKET OBSERVATION • 2026-07-16

SPY Outlook 2026-07-16 — Key Levels & Tomorrow Bias

Review the SPY key levels, market structure, next levels, Tomorrow Bias, and outcome for this date.

Today — Current Session

UB1754.68
UB2757.43
UB3760.17
LB1749.20
LB2746.45
LB3743.71

Prior Trading Day

UB1757.54
UB2760.07
UB3762.60
LB1752.48
LB2749.95
LB3747.42

ACCEPT / REJECT / INTERLEAVED Structure

Market StateAWAITING LIVE STATE
Structure ModeINTERLEAVED
Accepted LevelsPrior UB3
Rejected LevelsPrior UB, Prior UB2, Today LB, Today LB2, Today UB, Today UB2
PEER ACCEPTED INTERACTION

Continuation Plan

DirectionSHORT
Accepted LevelToday LB
Confirmation / Trigger749.47
Projected Target746.36
Current StatusCONFIRMED
SPY Reference751.70

General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.

PEER REJECTED INTERACTION

Reversal Plan

DirectionLONG
Rejected LevelToday LB
Reversal Confirmation748.92
Projected Target750.94
Current StatusTARGET REACHED
Hard Invalidation754.48

General market information only. Reaching a published level is not an instruction to place a trade.

Next Values We Are Observing

The active observation ladder is shown below.

OBSERVE NEXT 1
Today UB — 754.68
OBSERVE NEXT 2
Today UB2 — 757.43
OBSERVE NEXT 3
Prior UB — 757.54
SPY TOMORROW OUTLOOK

SHORT • 57.6% confidence

Watch748.92
Confirmation748.92
Invalidation754.48
Target746.14
Extension743.36
Reversal Confirmation752.21

SPY Level Outlook — Available Pre-EOD

Today LB — 748.92
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 752.80 • down projection 745.04 • projected target 746.14 • today status REACHED
Today LB — 749.47
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 753.03 • down projection 745.91 • projected target 746.76 • today status REACHED
Prior UB — 757.68
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 761.84 • down projection 753.52 • projected target 760.17 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior UB — 757.40
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection 761.52 • down projection 753.28 • projected target 759.96 • today status NOT REACHED
Today LB2 — 746.14
REJECT / REVERSAL • up projection 748.72 • down projection 743.55 • projected target 743.36 • today status NOT REACHED
Today LB3 — 743.36
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 743.36 • today status NOT REACHED
Prior LB3 — 747.13
ACCEPT / CONTINUATION • up projection N/A • down projection N/A • projected target 747.13 • today status NOT REACHED

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation748.92
Primary Target746.14
Hard Invalidation754.48
Target Completed33.3%
Invalidation55.6%
No Completion11.1%

If Day 1 Does Not Complete

Day-2 continuation0.0%
Continuation reference746.14
Day-2 reversal100.0%
Reversal confirmation752.21

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_REACHED

The published target price traded during the next regular session.

Open / High / Low / Close742.08 / 747.29 / 740.80 / 743.29
General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.