SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-07-09

SPY Outlook 2026-07-09 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY748.09
Synthetic754.95
Range Unit3.22
Market StateEXPANSION • Gap Fill Reversal

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG
Confidence71.3%
Sample10
Confirmation751.31
Invalidation744.87
Next Target754.52

SPY Key Levels

UB1751.31
UB2754.52
UB3757.74
LB1744.87
LB2741.66
LB3738.44

Accepted Structure

No accepted labels published.

Rejected Structure

No rejected labels published.

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Synthetic 09:35 — 754.95
Expected test 83.3% • Accept 80.0% • Reject 20.0% • Expected move 5.93
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior UB — 747.45
Expected test 66.7% • Accept 75.0% • Reject 25.0% • Expected move 4.02
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 UB — 747.15
Expected test 66.7% • Accept 75.0% • Reject 25.0% • Expected move 3.99
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 UB2 — 750.64
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 0.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 1.41
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior UB2 — 750.94
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 0.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 1.07
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation751.31
Favorable Observation Level752.84
Primary Target754.52
Invalidation744.87
Target Completed40.0%
No Completion50.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation40.0%
Reversal40.0%
Still unresolved20.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_COMPLETED

The primary Tomorrow Bias route completed at its mapped target.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.