SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-05-14
SPY Outlook 2026-05-14 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias
This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.
Opening SPY Structure
09:35 SPY745.31
Synthetic746.05
Range Unit2.91
Market StateDIRECTIONAL • Prior Band Rejection
Tomorrow Bias
DirectionLONG
Confidence56.9%
Sample10
Confirmation748.22
Invalidation742.40
Next Target751.12
SPY Key Levels
UB1748.22
UB2751.12
UB3754.03
LB1742.40
LB2739.50
LB3736.59
Accepted Structure
No accepted labels published.
Rejected Structure
No rejected labels published.
Next Values We Are Observing
No active next-value ladder was published for this session.
Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD
Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.
Synthetic 09:35 — 746.05
Expected test 100.0% • Accept 50.0% • Reject 50.0% • Expected move 4.40
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:30 — 744.75
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 0.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 4.24
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Today 09:30 UB — 747.64
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 3.08
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today UB — 748.22
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 0.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 2.45
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Today 09:30 UB2 — 750.47
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 0.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 0.05
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation748.22
Favorable Observation Level748.15
Primary Target751.12
Invalidation742.40
Target Completed40.0%
No Completion20.0%
Conditional Day-2 History
Continuation50.0%
Reversal0.0%
Still unresolved50.0%
Actual Next-Day Audit
PREDICTION_INVALIDATED
The primary Tomorrow Bias route failed at its mapped invalidation.
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.