SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-05-11
SPY Outlook 2026-05-11 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias
This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.
Opening SPY Structure
09:35 SPY737.60
Synthetic736.08
Range Unit1.84
Market StateDIRECTIONAL • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion
Tomorrow Bias
DirectionTWO_WAY
Confidence86.9%
Sample10
Confirmation739.44
Invalidation735.76
Next Target741.29
SPY Key Levels
UB1739.44
UB2741.29
UB3743.13
LB1735.76
LB2733.91
LB3732.07
Accepted Structure
No accepted labels published.
Rejected Structure
No rejected labels published.
Next Values We Are Observing
No active next-value ladder was published for this session.
Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD
Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.
Prior 09:30 LB — 731.45
Expected test 52.6% • Accept 60.0% • Reject 40.0% • Expected move 6.00
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior LB — 731.26
Expected test 47.4% • Accept 66.7% • Reject 33.3% • Expected move 6.76
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:30 — 737.75
Expected test 40.0% • Accept 75.0% • Reject 25.0% • Expected move 6.92
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 737.04
Expected test 26.3% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 7.52
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 729.17
Expected test 31.6% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 4.53
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation739.44
Favorable Observation Level0.00
Primary Target741.29
Invalidation735.76
Target Completed60.0%
No Completion40.0%
Conditional Day-2 History
Continuation0.0%
Reversal0.0%
Still unresolved100.0%
Actual Next-Day Audit
TARGET_COMPLETED
The primary Tomorrow Bias route completed at its mapped target.
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.