SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-05-08

SPY Outlook 2026-05-08 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY734.93
Synthetic729.17
Range Unit3.67
Market StateEXPANSION • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionTWO_WAY
Confidence86.9%
Sample10
Confirmation738.60
Invalidation731.26
Next Target742.28

SPY Key Levels

UB1738.60
UB2742.28
UB3745.95
LB1731.26
LB2727.58
LB3723.91

Accepted Structure

No accepted labels published.

Rejected Structure

No rejected labels published.

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Prior 09:30 LB — 732.32
Expected test 55.6% • Accept 60.0% • Reject 40.0% • Expected move 6.00
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior LB — 732.30
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 66.7% • Reject 33.3% • Expected move 6.76
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:30 — 737.04
Expected test 36.8% • Accept 85.7% • Reject 14.3% • Expected move 7.55
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 732.36
Expected test 27.8% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 7.52
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today 09:30 LB — 731.45
Expected test 47.4% • Accept 66.7% • Reject 33.3% • Expected move 3.95
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation738.60
Favorable Observation Level0.00
Primary Target742.28
Invalidation731.26
Target Completed60.0%
No Completion40.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation0.0%
Reversal0.0%
Still unresolved100.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

DAY_1_UNFINISHED

Day 1 touched neither target nor invalidation, so the prediction remains unfinished rather than proven correct or wrong.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.