SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-04-21
SPY Outlook 2026-04-21 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias
This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.
Opening SPY Structure
09:35 SPY709.03
Synthetic711.56
Range Unit1.99
Market StateEXPANSION • Inside Compression → Breakdown
Tomorrow Bias
DirectionSHORT
Confidence77.2%
Sample10
Confirmation707.04
Invalidation711.02
Next Target705.06
SPY Key Levels
UB1711.02
UB2713.00
UB3714.99
LB1707.04
LB2705.06
LB3703.07
Accepted Structure
No accepted labels published.
Rejected Structure
No rejected labels published.
Next Values We Are Observing
No active next-value ladder was published for this session.
Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD
Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.
Synthetic 09:35 — 711.56
Expected test 56.3% • Accept 88.9% • Reject 11.1% • Expected move 7.06
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 715.15
Expected test 31.3% • Accept 80.0% • Reject 20.0% • Expected move 6.65
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today UB — 711.02
Expected test 62.5% • Accept 30.0% • Reject 70.0% • Expected move 2.60
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Today 09:30 LB — 707.30
Expected test 31.3% • Accept 20.0% • Reject 80.0% • Expected move 2.63
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:30 LB3 — 701.26
Expected test 18.8% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 4.53
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation707.04
Favorable Observation Level706.50
Primary Target705.06
Invalidation711.02
Target Completed60.0%
No Completion20.0%
Conditional Day-2 History
Continuation50.0%
Reversal50.0%
Still unresolved0.0%
Actual Next-Day Audit
PREDICTION_INVALIDATED
The primary Tomorrow Bias route failed at its mapped invalidation.
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.