SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-04-13

SPY Outlook 2026-04-13 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY677.26
Synthetic678.85
Range Unit2.23
Market StateDIRECTIONAL • Inside Compression → Breakdown

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG
Confidence67.7%
Sample10
Confirmation679.50
Invalidation675.02
Next Target681.73

SPY Key Levels

UB1679.50
UB2681.73
UB3683.96
LB1675.02
LB2672.79
LB3670.56

Accepted Structure

No accepted labels published.

Rejected Structure

No rejected labels published.

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Synthetic 09:35 — 678.85
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 83.3% • Reject 16.7% • Expected move 7.63
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today UB — 679.50
Expected test 58.3% • Accept 28.6% • Reject 71.4% • Expected move 2.21
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 677.30
Expected test 33.3% • Accept 75.0% • Reject 25.0% • Expected move 6.06
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today 09:30 UB — 679.66
Expected test 41.7% • Accept 40.0% • Reject 60.0% • Expected move 3.11
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Synthetic 09:30 — 672.29
Expected test 25.0% • Accept 33.3% • Reject 66.7% • Expected move 3.77
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation679.50
Favorable Observation Level679.14
Primary Target681.73
Invalidation675.02
Target Completed40.0%
No Completion30.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation33.3%
Reversal33.3%
Still unresolved33.3%

Actual Next-Day Audit

DAY_1_UNFINISHED

Day 1 touched neither target nor invalidation, so the prediction remains unfinished rather than proven correct or wrong.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.