SPY NEXT MOVE
SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-04-09

SPY Outlook 2026-04-09 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias

This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.

Opening SPY Structure

09:35 SPY675.15
Synthetic682.61
Range Unit2.97
Market StateEXPANSION • Inside Compression → Breakdown

Tomorrow Bias

DirectionLONG
Confidence62.3%
Sample10
Confirmation678.12
Invalidation672.18
Next Target681.09

SPY Key Levels

UB1678.12
UB2681.09
UB3684.06
LB1672.18
LB2669.21
LB3666.24

Accepted Structure

No accepted labels published.

Rejected Structure

No rejected labels published.

Next Values We Are Observing

No active next-value ladder was published for this session.

Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD

Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.

Synthetic 09:35 — 682.61
Expected test 54.5% • Accept 83.3% • Reject 16.7% • Expected move 7.63
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today UB — 678.12
Expected test 54.5% • Accept 16.7% • Reject 83.3% • Expected move 2.08
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 680.91
Expected test 27.3% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 5.70
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today 09:30 UB — 677.64
Expected test 36.4% • Accept 25.0% • Reject 75.0% • Expected move 3.00
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 675.76
Expected test 9.1% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 7.28
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION

TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT

Confirmation678.12
Favorable Observation Level678.64
Primary Target681.09
Invalidation672.18
Target Completed30.0%
No Completion40.0%

Conditional Day-2 History

Continuation25.0%
Reversal25.0%
Still unresolved50.0%

Actual Next-Day Audit

TARGET_COMPLETED

The primary Tomorrow Bias route completed at its mapped target.

General-purpose market observation.

Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.