SPY DAILY OUTLOOK • 2026-02-25
SPY Outlook 2026-02-25 — Key Levels, Projected Move & Tomorrow Bias
This daily SPY outlook preserves the published opening structure, key price bands, next observed values, Tomorrow Bias, peer level-band forecast, and the subsequent outcome audit when available.
Opening SPY Structure
09:35 SPY691.14
Synthetic684.35
Range Unit3.11
Market StateEXPANSION • Synthetic Dislocation Reversion
Tomorrow Bias
DirectionLONG
Confidence71.1%
Sample9
Confirmation694.25
Invalidation688.03
Next Target697.36
SPY Key Levels
UB1694.25
UB2697.36
UB3700.47
LB1688.03
LB2684.92
LB3681.81
Accepted Structure
No accepted labels published.
Rejected Structure
No rejected labels published.
Next Values We Are Observing
No active next-value ladder was published for this session.
Peer Level-Band Forecast — Available Pre-EOD
Test rate and expected move come from completed historical peers. Upper/lower prices are calculated now and do not require today's EOD. Today's acceptance or rejection remains a separate live event.
Prior 09:35 Synthetic — 671.15
Expected test 50.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 7.68
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Synthetic 09:35 — 684.35
Expected test 40.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 6.38
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Prior 09:30 LB — 677.29
Expected test 75.0% • Accept 66.7% • Reject 33.3% • Expected move 6.63
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
Today UB — 694.25
Expected test 40.0% • Accept 0.0% • Reject 100.0% • Expected move 2.18
EXPECTED REJECT / REVERSAL RISK
Prior 09:30 Synthetic — 682.90
Expected test 25.0% • Accept 100.0% • Reject 0.0% • Expected move 7.23
EXPECTED ACCEPT / CONTINUATION
TOMORROW BIAS — OUTCOME & PRICE AUDIT
Confirmation694.25
Favorable Observation Level695.98
Primary Target697.36
Invalidation688.03
Target Completed33.3%
No Completion55.6%
Conditional Day-2 History
Continuation0.0%
Reversal40.0%
Still unresolved60.0%
Actual Next-Day Audit
PREDICTION_INVALIDATED
The primary Tomorrow Bias route failed at its mapped invalidation.
General-purpose market observation.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation, solicitation, personalized advice, or an instruction to buy, sell, hold, open, close, or size a securities or options position.